Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XRP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-23 1.376846 1.700482 2.122306 2.731117 3.621893 4.940904 7.184907
2025-03-02 0.991000 1.353853 1.908141 2.888443 4.775798 8.858906 21.411721
2025-03-09 0.774674 1.123301 1.710746 2.903549 5.743343 14.518206 75.019289
2025-03-16 0.627193 0.943419 1.510439 2.774281 6.298658 21.250380 368.409156
2025-03-23 0.554598 0.865251 1.458726 2.920940 7.832044 40.713027 NaN
2025-03-30 0.490963 0.786267 1.377178 2.949393 9.122306 76.631429 NaN
2025-04-06 0.434262 0.708055 1.273901 2.865352 9.919607 136.093324 NaN
2025-04-13 0.390717 0.647139 1.192463 2.805774 10.850340 282.430266 NaN
2025-04-20 0.372572 0.632842 1.212751 3.081496 14.660020 3808.710913 NaN
2025-04-27 0.351228 0.608114 1.201439 3.249496 18.665732 NaN NaN
2025-05-04 0.325877 0.571014 1.150230 3.241308 21.321305 NaN NaN
2025-05-11 0.299592 0.528506 1.076421 3.106481 22.215996 NaN NaN
2025-05-18 0.283592 0.507162 1.056586 3.205472 27.678796 NaN NaN
2025-05-25 0.271596 0.493221 1.054438 3.393362 37.613515 NaN NaN
2025-06-01 0.256288 0.469804 1.020576 3.410277 45.160091 NaN NaN
2025-06-08 0.238415 0.438545 0.958317 3.247752 46.178542 NaN NaN
2025-06-15 0.230247 0.429023 0.958756 3.431630 65.992962 NaN NaN
2025-06-22 0.219678 0.412624 0.935190 3.467410 83.253980 NaN NaN
2025-06-29 0.207441 0.391056 0.892018 3.361775 90.238493 NaN NaN
2025-07-06 0.196888 0.372668 0.856220 3.287075 100.882235 NaN NaN
2025-07-13 0.194219 0.373221 0.881127 3.634058 207.087047 NaN NaN
2025-07-20 0.189272 0.367586 0.884768 3.847055 402.076303 NaN NaN
2025-07-27 0.181626 0.354443 0.860743 3.836646 572.147480 NaN NaN